Aerospace, Defense & Security

Small-satellite Launch Services Market, Quarterly Update Q1 2018, Forecast to 2030

State of the small-satellite Industry in Q1, 2018
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Published: 23 Mar 2018

This research study covers the following: Product scope: Small satellites and launch services market forecast Geographic scope: Global End-user scope: All companies related to the space industry. Small satellites have evolved from being a technology demonstrator to providing low-cost operational services across distributed industry segments. It is therefore very essential to investigate the past and current state of the small-satellite market and forecast future scenarios. Many small-satellite constellation operators have made progress with their development processes, and will generate continuous and recurring launch demand for installation and replacement missions of their planned satellite constellations. At present, nearly all small satellites use the rideshare capacity as a secondary payload on existing launch vehicles. This makes their project schedule and mission requirements dependent on the primary payload. Further, the existing rideshare capacity will not be sufficient to address all of the small-satellite launch demand in the future. Many incumbent and new players have sensed the upcoming small-satellite demand and have started planning for providing dedicated services and launch flexibility to small satellite operators, in order to capture a good share of the future small-satellite launch market. What makes our reports unique?: A bottom-up and detailed approach is applied to forecast the small-satellite launch demand. The study defines multiple forecast scenarios based on the maturity of satellite operators. More than 200 operators across user segments are considered for the forecast. Number of small satellites, payload mass, and launch revenue are forecast on the basis of defined scenarios, satellite mass classes, and user segments. The study also includes the launch capacity forecast for both the rideshare and dedicated launch services segments and analyses the alignment between the small satellite launch demand and capacity supply. This study forecasts small-satellite launch demand based on operators' maturity, mass classes, and user segments. It also details the projected small satellite launch capacity supply and analyzes the alignment of launch demand and supply for multiple forecast scenarios. The study includes new developments in the small-satellite value chain for Q4 2017.



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