Frost & Sullivan Research Service   Published: 16 Jun 2010
The Race of Smartphones, What Next?
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   Research Overview
 

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled The Race of Smartphones, What Next? Impetus in OS and Technology Innovation in Smartphones provides a detailed analysis of the key drivers and challenges influencing the smartphone market growth along with strategic recommendations. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts examine the various handset distribution models evident across the market, the impact of new market participants and key trends and developments across the mobile operating system (OS) arena.

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Market Overview

Smartphone Market Experiences Significant Growth Spurred by the Provision of Innovative Features and Applications that Attract Consumer Interest

Notwithstanding the economic downturn, the smartphone market is on an upswing, with consumers increasingly seeking devices that are well designed with innovative features and applications such as touch screen technology, wireless fidelity (Wi-Fi) and location-based service (LBS). These devices continue to be status symbols in the consumer and enterprise markets. In the next couple of years, software is expected to play a major role in the mobile handset market, along with more standardised hardware design. Mobile operators are likely to partner with significant participants from the Internet community, the media and the entertainment industry to further boost the appeal of advanced handsets. “The smartphone market will remain highly fragmented in the next five years,” says the analyst of this research. “Although traditional participants across the smartphone value chain will continue to dominate the market, more collaboration between consumer electronic device manufacturers is expected and new technology vendors will be the trendsetters in the mobile market.”

Consumer demand for the ultimate converged devices to support multiple functionalities such as touch screen, camera/video support, dual simcard provisions, Wi-Fi and integrated global positioning system (GPS) is anticipated to spur demand for smartphones. Furthermore, social media and Internet communities, as well as application developers, are likely to gain control and prominence in the wireless and mobile market, resulting in more collaboration across the value chain. Innovation, combined with the strategy of differentiating products, will be one of the most prominent factors in achieving significant growth.

However, falling average sale prices will continue to affect the revenue growth rate of this market. Additionally, diversified operating system (OS) platforms; intense competition among smartphone manufacturers and poor battery life of smartphones to support multiple access technologies will affect the smartphone market in the next 4-5 years. There is a large battlefield in terms of mobile operating software (MOS) providers, with several terminal vendors opting for a different platform for each type of client device. This trend will continue over the next 2-3 years. Greater competition amongst MOS providers will also lead to intense competition among PC OS manufacturers. This, however, does not necessarily translate directly into lower margins for the mobile market. “Branding is also important for participants capable of selling the perceived value-add of their product and capturing the subsequent premium price,” concludes the analyst.

Technologies

The following technologies are covered in this research:

  • High-speed packet access (HSPA)
  • Third-generation long-term evolution (3G LTE)
  • Global system for mobile communications (GSM)
  • IP multimedia subsystem (IMS)

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  Table Of Contents

1. Key Findings

2. Introduction

3. Smartphones Trends

4. Business Models

5. Force Field Analysis

6. Market Drivers, Restraints and Challenges

7. Key Smartphones OS Trends

   7.1 Disruptive Emerging Platforms

   7.2 Nokia: Symbian and MeeGo

   7.3 RIM OS

   7.4 Apple iPhone OS

   7.5 Google Android

   7.6 Microsoft: Windows Mobile

8. Smartphones Market Forecasts

   8.1 Global Mobile Subscribers and Population Penetration

   8.2 Global Mobile Subscribers by Region

   8.3 Global Mobile Post and Pre-paid Subscribers

   8.4 Global Mobile Postpaid Subscribers by Region

   8.5 Global Mobile Prepaid Subscribers by Region

   8.6 Global Mobile Subscribers by Technology

   8.7 Global 3G Subscribers by Region

   8.8 Global MVNO Subscribers by Region

   8.9 Global Internet Ready Mobile Phones

   8.10 Global Internet Ready Mobile Phones by Region

   8.11 Global SIP Enabled Smartphones

   8.12 Global Smartphones Shipment by Region

   8.13 Global Smartphones Shipment by Operating System

   8.14 Global Handset Shipment by Interface

   8.15 Global Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.16 Western Europe Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.17 North America Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.18 APAC Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.19 Central and Latin America Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.20 Central and Eastern Europe Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.21 Middle East and Africa Handset Shipment by Technology

   8.22 Global Handset Replacement Rates

9. Conclusion



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