Dual Clutch Transmissions, Global Strategic Development Roadmap to 2022

Propelled by Transmission Efficiency Improvement Efforts, DCTs to Grow by 7%–8% Globally; Reflecting a Strong Growth Trajectory in North America and China
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Published: 2 Jun 2017

This study on the future of dual clutch transmission technology investigates the strategies of key original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) to improve fuel efficiency and vehicle drivability. Starting off with a brief background of transmission and DCT technologies, this compares the advancement of dry and wet DCT technologies. Segment-wise applications, current and future trends, are discussed in detail. Key industry participants, applicable segments, technology innovation, and growth of high-speed DCTs have also been studied. Key drivers of DCTs, including the need for better fuel efficiency, faster gear shifts, and higher driver engagement are also discussed in detail. The growth outlook for DCTs until 2022 in North America, the European Union, Asia-Pacific, and other regions have been presented in this research. Key Questions Answered: • What are the factors impacting the growth of different transmission types across different markets? • What will lead to rapid adoption of dual clutch transmissions in light duty vehicles? • In which segments will the adoption of dual clutch transmissions be faster toward 2022? • What are the regional differences in the adoption of dual clutch transmission? • What is the growth outlook of dual clutch transmissions with the advent of large volumes of Plug-in hybrid Electric Vehicles (PHEVs) and other hybrids? • What levels of priority have various OEMs accorded to dual clutch transmissions as they try to improve the gear shifting experience and reduce their average fleet emissions? Key Opportunities and Growth Drivers for Dual Clutch Transmission Technologies: • Strict regulations of CO2 emission and fuel efficiency norms in key regions of the world will require OEMs to make DCTs more fuel efficient. • The added benefit of lesser CO2 emission and more fuel efficiency will make Hybrid Dual Clutch Transmission (HDCT) a common transmission. • The use of plastics and advanced steels for construction of transmission will help OEMs reduce CO2 emissions, making the vehicle more fuel efficient. Excerpts: By 2022, the CO2 emissions standards in Europe and CAFÉ targets in the US and APAC will lead to DCTs being used by several OEMs as a more fuel efficient transmission variant. Smaller downsized engines with displacement of not more than 2L will also increasingly use DCTs with 8 and 9 speed ratios. DCTs will be used in plug-in hybrid applications for mid-size vehicles, large cars, and Sport Utility Vehicles (SUVs). China, one of the biggest markets in the future for DCT, will have a mix of dry and wet dual clutch transmissions. Suppliers will focus on the development of advanced iterations of low torque, wet clutch transmissions, making them cost effective. The adoption of DCTs in the Western European market will be higher, as the lower maximum temperatures do not affect heat dissipation in DCT when under high load.

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