LONDON – 18 November 2008 - The potential of renewable energy in Russia may become the answer to experts' warnings about future depletion of country's energy resources. Currently, Russia is the world's largest gas producer with rich oil and coal reserves as well as subsidised domestic gas and electricity prices. However, the traditional oil and gas resource bases of Volga-Urals and West Siberian regions approach depletion and could face a rapid production decline. While initial steps have been taken for developing the renewable energy sector, reaching its full potential will require a large amount of investment, as well as government support.
Different regions within Russia offer unique renewable energy resources. The South-West region, Southern Siberia, and the Far East boast significant solar energy potential, while the coastal areas in the north, low and middle Volga regions and the Urals offer wind energy. Hydro energy potential is mostly found in Central and Eastern Siberia and the Far East. Biomass is linked to Siberia as well as the Far East. Finally, geothermal energy prospects are promising in the Far East, Northern Caucasus and the Far East.
"If ranked based on the economic potential, geothermal energy would come first accounting for about 40% of overall renewable energy potential, small hydro is second reaching 24% and biomass accounts for 13%," notes Frost & Sullivan's Research Manager Alina Bakhareva. "These three leading sources account for nearly 80% of the total potential. Overall, the early nineties' estimate of the renewable energy potential in Russia was in a range of 260-300 million tons of coal equivalent each year. This could be enough to supply as much as a third of Russia's energy needs. This potential is largely underutilized with less than 1% of "green" electricity and less than 5% of "green" heat in total annual power and heat output."
As mentioned earlier, although Russia holds about 32% of the world's proven natural gas reserves and about 12% of the proven oil reserves, the traditional oil and gas production regions could face a rapid production decline. Developing new resources is necessary for Russia and will soon become an imperative. Green energy could well become a perfect alternative to bringing new often remotely-located oil and gas fields into production.
However, there are some impediments to the green energy growth. First of all, the sector hasn't had much support from the government so far and favourable legislation is a paramount need for the sector to pick up. In 2003, Russia's Energy Policy only asked for 1% of electricity to be generated by renewable energy sources by the year 2020. Furthermore, since the draft of the Renewable Energy Law has not yet been ratified into law the renewable energy sector is left unregulated.
Despite these set backs, RusHydro, a newly-formed hydro generation company, is paving the way for renewable energy. Recently inheriting 49 hydropower stations with a total installed capacity of over 25 GW, RusHydro is turning into the largest power generation company in Russia and, what's most important for the green energy, RusHydro is driving renewable energy development in Russia. The sector receiving the most investment so far is small hydro, concentrated in vast territory of Siberia. RusHydro has created a New Energy Fund whose major objective is to develop a National Programme for Small Hydro Sector Development as well as implement projects.
The potential for Russian development of renewable energy is great and becoming recognised. With more robust government support in terms of renewable energy targets and Russian and foreign investors expected to actively explore the hidden potential of green energy in Russia, the green industry will be able to develop and to grow generating interesting opportunities.
Frost & Sullivan has a dedicated team working on consulting projects and research on the Russian and CIS markets. Our experts based in the region evaluate industry opportunities and trends to gather an in-depth insight. Their first-hand knowledge of the market is invaluable for those companies who are interested in investing in Russia and in all other CIS countries.
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